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State Occupancy Probabilities with Proportional-Odds Models

Model specifications

Partial Proportional-Odds SOPs with vglm_markov()

Second-Order SOPs with orm_markov()

Time as a Factor with orm_markov()

Many Outcome Levels with a Previous-State Spline

Uncertainty

Analytical Confidence Intervals for State Occupancy Probabilities

MVN Simulation Versus Bootstrap for orm_markov() SOPs

Fractional Weighted Bootstrap for SOPs

Bayesian SOPs with blrm_markov()